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Erik Sundberg

I was the first engineer at a developer tools startup in Stockholm that got acquired by a company you've heard of in 2023. I won't say which one because the acquisition agreement has a clause about public commentary, and I'd rather keep writing than hire a lawyer.

What I can say: we built a CI/CD product that went from zero to $6M ARR in three years. I wrote most of the initial codebase, then hired the team that replaced me, then moved into a hybrid eng/product role where I spent half my time talking to users and half my time arguing about pricing with our CEO. The pricing arguments were more important than any code I wrote. We changed our pricing model three times. Each change was more impactful than any feature launch.

That experience made me obsessed with the business side of developer tools. There's a fascinating tension in the space: developers hate being sold to, they're skeptical of marketing, and they have strong opinions about pricing. But they also adopt tools faster than any other buyer persona and they evangelize the things they love. Building a business on top of that psychology is one of the hardest and most interesting problems in SaaS.

After the acquisition, I took a year off. I traveled. I read a lot of S-1 filings. I wrote a series of deep dives into developer tool pricing models: how Vercel, Supabase, PlanetScale, and others structure their plans, where the margin is, and where the churn hides. Those pieces got passed around in enough Slack channels that Signal asked me to write for them.

I now split my time between writing and angel investing in early-stage dev tools companies. I'm based in Stockholm but spend a lot of time in London and San Francisco.

I ski, I cook, and I have a possibly irrational conviction that usage-based pricing will eat the world.

Articles by Erik Sundberg (32)

Reverse-Engineering Stripe's Usage-Based Pricing: The Retention Cliffs Nobody Talks AboutConsumption pricing looks elegant on a slide deck. In practice, it creates predictable churn windows that most teams don't model until it's too late. · Feb 12, 2026You Launched Your App. Here's How to Get to Your First 1,000 Users.Forget growth hacks. The path from zero to 1,000 is manual, unglamorous, and sequential. A breakdown of the five phases every successful app follows — · Jan 15, 2026The Cursor Effect: What the Fastest-Growing SaaS in History Teaches About Distribution$1M to $2B ARR in under three years. 2.1 million users. Zero ad spend. Cursor didn't win by building a better AI — it won by forking VS Code and inver · Feb 19, 2026First-Mover Advantage Is Dead. Copilot Had 20 Million Users and Still Lost.GitHub Copilot pioneered AI coding assistance. First to market. Backed by Microsoft. 20 million users. Then Claude Code and Codex launched. Within six · Jan 8, 2026The 2026 Funding Bar: Why Investors Stopped Funding 'AI-Native' and Started Funding Workflow Lock-InVCs are rejecting AI SaaS companies that are 'easy to build and easy to replace.' The new due diligence checklist has one question: what happens when · Dec 28, 2025Lovable Hit $200M ARR in 12 Months With 100 Employees. Here's Every Growth Lever They Pulled.From GPT Engineer to the fastest-growing software company ever. A breakdown of the rebrand, the open-source-to-paid pipeline, the Elena Verna hire, th · Aug 18, 2025Anthropic's $60B Bet: Safety Is the Only Moat That ScalesWhile OpenAI races to ship and Google throws compute at the problem, Dario Amodei is building the most valuable AI company by doing the thing nobody e · Nov 28, 2025The PlayStation 6 Is Already Delayed — And AI Is the ReasonSony's next console was targeting late 2027. Then the AI memory crisis hit. Inside the $800 pricing problem, AMD's Radiance Cores gamble, and how NVID · Mar 6, 2026The Death of the Free Trial: Why Top SaaS Companies Are Switching to Reverse TrialsToggl doubled premium revenue. Stockpress jumped from 10% to 25% conversion. Dropbox is A/B testing it. Inside the monetization model that weaponizes · Mar 9, 2026The AI Pricing Crisis — Why Every SaaS Company Is Scrambling to Replace Per-Seat PricingSeat-based pricing went from industry standard to existential liability in 12 months. AI agents don't need licenses. Usage is exploding. Margins are c · Mar 9, 2026Vibe Coding Created a $2.4 Trillion Technical Debt Bubble41% of code is now AI-generated. Code churn is up. Refactoring has collapsed. Security failures are endemic. And the junior developers who would norma · Mar 9, 2026Retention Curves Don't Lie: What 18 Months of AI Coding Tool Data Actually ShowsDevelopers believe AI makes them 20% faster. Controlled studies say they're 19% slower. Inside the perception gap, the code quality crisis, and the re · Mar 9, 2026The One-Person Billion-Dollar Company Is No Longer a Thought ExperimentSolo founders now start 36.3% of all new companies -- the highest share in fifty years. Anthropic's CEO gives a billion-dollar solo exit 70-80% odds b · Mar 9, 2026The Death of Mid-Market SaaS: Squeezed From Both Ends by AIA trillion dollars erased from software stocks in a single week. Zero SaaS unicorn IPO filings in 2026. $46.9 billion in distressed tech debt. The mid · Mar 9, 2026Cursor Changed How We Write Code — Now Every IDE Is Scrambling to Catch UpFour MIT dropouts built the fastest-growing SaaS company of all time — $2B ARR in under three years, a $29.3 billion valuation, and four new billionai · Mar 9, 2026The Internet Blackout Playbook: What Iran's 13-Day Shutdown Teaches SaaS About Offline-First ArchitectureIran's internet has been down for 13 days and counting. While the humanitarian crisis dominates headlines, a quieter technical story is emerging: the · Mar 14, 2026War, Oil, and Churn: How Geopolitical Shocks Hit B2B Retention CurvesWhen oil spiked 48% in two weeks, enterprise procurement teams froze budgets. This article maps the downstream effects of geopolitical conflict on Saa · Mar 14, 2026The AI Hardware Renaissance Is Building Devices Nobody Asked ForHumane AI Pin. Rabbit R1. Meta Ray-Bans. The AI hardware boom has produced a dozen new devices — and almost zero new behaviors. Why the form factor pr · Mar 16, 2026Apple's AI Distribution Play: Siri + Gemini + PrivacyApple is paying Google $1 billion a year for Gemini while Google pays Apple $20 billion a year for search placement. That asymmetry tells you everythi · Mar 17, 2026Anthropic vs. The Pentagon: When AI Companies Become 'Supply Chain Risks'The Department of Defense has blacklisted Anthropic — maker of Claude, valued at $61.5 billion — as a 'supply chain risk,' effectively barring it from · Mar 18, 2026xAI's Colossus Is Online. Grok Now Has the Biggest Distribution Moat Nobody's Talking About.While OpenAI and Anthropic fight for enterprise contracts, Elon Musk quietly assembled the only AI product with 500 million built-in users, a 200,000- · Mar 20, 2026Databricks at $62B: The Open-Source Bait-and-Switch Is the Best Business Model in Enterprise SoftwareDatabricks gave away Apache Spark, Delta Lake, and MLflow for free. Then it built the governance layer on top and charged enterprises $2.4B a year for · Mar 25, 2026The Fintech Growth Playbook Is Completely Broken. Here's What Actually Works in 2026.Everything that built the last generation of fintechs — cheap CAC through Instagram ads, regulatory arbitrage, VC-subsidized free tiers, and 'kill the · Mar 25, 2026The AI Agent Stack in 2026: Every Layer, Who's Winning, and Where the Margin Actually LivesThe agentic AI market hit $47 billion in 2025 spending, and most of it went to infrastructure nobody can name. Behind every AI agent demo is a seven-l · Apr 9, 2026Why Claude 4.6's Pricing Will Force OpenAI to RestructureAnthropic's aggressive pricing on Claude Opus 4.6 and Sonnet 4.6 is creating margin pressure that OpenAI's cost structure — built for a $300B valuatio · Apr 9, 2026Anthropic Bought the SDK Generator Its Rivals Can't ReplaceThe $300 million Stainless acquisition is not about tooling. It's about who controls the infrastructure layer every AI company uses to reach developer · May 19, 2026Query Fan-Out SEO: The New Keyword Research Method for AI SearchAI search does not retrieve one page for one keyword. It decomposes messy prompts into related searches. That makes query fan-out the new planning mod · May 20, 2026Legal AEO: Why ChatGPT Recommends the Same 5 Law Firms (And the Path Back)When clients ask AI assistants for an attorney, BigLaw and Avvo dominate. Here is why mid-market firms are invisible — and the structural fix. · May 25, 2026Conference Keynote AEO: Turning Stage Time Into LLM Citation AssetsOwners and developers are running ChatGPT, Claude, and Perplexity through the prequalification stage of commercial construction procurement. The gener · May 25, 2026Hacker News as AEO: How to Earn Front-Page Visibility That LLMs Cite for YearsHTTP/3 is the default transport on most major CDNs by 2026, but origin servers still negotiate down to HTTP/1.1 for crawler traffic. The gap quietly s · May 25, 2026Next.js 15 App Router AEO Patterns: Streaming, Suspense, and AI Crawler VisibilityThere are roughly 19,000 independent pharmacies in the United States, and almost none of them surface when a patient asks an AI assistant where to fil · May 26, 2026The 18-Day Retention Gap: Why Time-to-Value Is the Only Onboarding Metric That MattersHarness's new AI Spend Intelligence launch exposes a universal dysfunction: engineering orgs are spending billions on AI tooling with no way to attrib · May 31, 2026